Population Projections

A population projection is a forecast of future population growth. BC Stats applies the Component/Cohort-Survival method to project the population. This method "grows" the population from the latest base year estimate by forecasting births, deaths and migration by age. These forecasts are based on past trends modified to account for possible future changes and, consequently, should be viewed as only one possible scenario of future population.

B.C. level projections are usually updated in January or February each year, with sub-provincial projections following a few months after. All population estimates and projections are as of July 1st.

Custom detailed regional population projections by age and gender are available for purchase. For details please contact the demographic analysis section @ 250-216-2291.

British Columbia-Level Population Projections (May 2011)

• 1971-2010 Estimates / 2011-2036 Projections
• 1971-2010 Estimates / 2011-2036 Projections Data
  

  Summary Statistics Components of Change Total Population by 5-Year Age Groups Male Population by 5-Year Age Groups Female Population by 5-Year Age Groups Population Sex Ratios by 5-Year Age Groups

  Population by Selected Age Groups Population by Selected Age Groups - % Change Population by Selected Age Groups - % Distribution Total Population % Distribution by 5-Year Age Groups Male Population % Distribution by 5-Year Age Groups Female Population % Distribution by 5-Year Age Groups

• Overview of the B.C. and Regional Population Projections
• B.C. Level Population Projection Technical Assumptions

Sub-Provincial Population Projections - P.E.O.P.L.E. 36 (Sep 2011)

• An overview of British Columbia in 2036
• P.E.O.P.L.E. 36: Regional Population Projection Migration Assumptions
• Administrative boundaries (Reference maps)

Note for all Health Data Warehouse users:
If the information you require is not available here, please contact Jackie Storen @ 250-216-2291

Tools to examine regional population dynamics

• The Demographer's Friend - Population Pyramid