| Search | | | A-Z Index | | | New Content | | | Periodicals & Releases | | | Analytical Reports | | | Contact Us | | | Help | | |  |
|
|||||||||||||||
|
|
 |
BC Stats, with the financial assistance of the Ministry of Advanced Education and Labour Market Development, developed the Regional Employment Projection Model (REPM), designed to project industrial and occupational employment in regions of the Province of British Columbia. The model projects employment at the Regional District level and then aggregates back up to the College or Development Region level for reporting purposes. This aggregation has proved necessary as many of the labour markets by Regional District are too small to enable the creation of reliable data. The methodology used in the model has come largely from previous work on community dependencies carried out by BC Stats. The fundamental premise is that the economy of a region can be represented by income flows that can be classified as "basic" (or driver) and "non-basic" (or induced), depending on the source of the income. The current version of the model is benchmarked to the 2006 Census employment by Industry within Regional District, and is projected forward up to the most up-to-date annual employment data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS). The growth rates from the LFS at the provincial level for the basic industries are used to project growth down to the Regional District level. The model then calculates the indirect jobs generated based on the Regional District specific multipliers. The industrial employment projections from the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) reconciled to the employment projections produced by the BC Ministry of Finance at the provincial level are then used as the source data for the industrial growth, both in determining the growth rates in the direct employment, and then as a benchmark on which to reconcile the total employment by industry generated by the model. An important determining factor of differential growth by region is the nature of major projects coming
on-stream in the outlook timeframe. These projects affect not only construction employment, but also
operating employment once in the production phase.
Ten-Year Employment Outlook for British Columbia: The COPS B.C. Unique Scenario, 2007–2017 provides an overview and summary findings from the current Canadian
Occupational Projection System (COPS) employment demand model for British Columbia. An analysis of B.C.'s
employment projections by major industry and occupational groups is provided for the period 2007 to 2017. Funding for this project was made possible through the Labour Market Information initiative under the Canada-British Columbia Labour Market Agreement (LMA), which is administered for B.C. by the Ministry of Advanced Education and Labour Market Development. Projections are available by College Region and Development Region. However, the College Regions in the Lower Mainland (Vancouver, Kwantlen, Douglas and Capilano) are treated as one due to their proximity. Please see: Map of College Regions or Map of Development Regions All assumptions relating to employment are based on past conditions, modified wherever possible to take into consideration future changes. The resulting employment projections are not necessarily what will be, but rather what could be, given the realization of these conditions. It is certainly possible that unforeseen changes in factors such as economic development, government policy, land use and zoning will affect future employment. Consequently, the projections should only be regarded as one possible scenario on the future size and distribution of the workforce. Select full College or Development Region report (pdf) or employment projections only (csv).
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 |
|||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
